Handcuffing Your Running Backs
It’s week 8
of the NFL season, and your star running back cuts up field behind his left
tackle. You cheer as he crosses the first down line, and as a defender hangs on
to his right leg, he stumbles forward but stays upright, fighting for an extra
yard. Right as your star starts falling over, a hulking linebacker rushes over
and dives to make a tackle, driving his shoulder into the side of the running
back's knee. You grimace, and tell your girlfriend watching the game with you (congrats
on finding the perfect woman) to cover her eyes.
You walk to
your computer, and calmly go check your fantasy team. Because you read this
article, you already own your star running back’s backup, and rub your hands
together with glee as you place your new starting running back into your lineup
for next week.
This article
will be a guide for who you should handcuff each starting running back with,
along with an additional description of each situation as needed. I’ll also put
a number on a scale from 1-10 that indicates how necessary it is to own that
handcuff, with one meaning a handcuff is a waste of a roster spot and ten
meaning it is acceptable to punch your friend if he drafts that handcuff after
you draft the starter.
Arizona, Rashard Mendenhall: Ryan
Williams (6)
Mendenhall
is a punishing rusher, but basically lost last season to injury and will almost
certainly miss time again. The only reason Ryan Williams wasn’t rated more
important as a handcuff is because he is even more injury prone than
Mendenhall. In fact, if you’re the kind of crazy that joins a 40 team fantasy
league, I’d definitely recommend handcuffing Ryan Williams.
Atlanta, Steven Jackson: Jacquizz
Rodgers (4)
If Jackson
misses a game, look for Rodgers to get increased carries but share much of the
load with Jason Snelling, who is a more traditional rusher than the quicker but
diminutive Rodgers.
Baltimore, Ray Rice: Bernard Pierce
(10)
Bernard
Pierce gave us a glimpse of his potential against the Colts in the playoffs,
carrying the rushing attack after a momentum killing Ray Rice fumble. Bernard
Pierce could be in line for double digit carries a game even if Rice is
healthy, and will be a star if Rice is ever forced to the sideline.
Buffalo, CJ Spiller: Fred Jackson (4)
CJ Spiller
was the NFL’s most electrifying running back last year (non-Adrian Peterson
division) and new coach Doug Marrone has said he views Spiller as the every
down back. However, Fred Jackson is just a season removed from being an elite
starter, and could be a very strong RB2 if Spiller goes down.
Carolina, Jonathan Stewart: DeAngelo
Williams (10)
The whole
Panthers running back situation is shaping up to be a massive headache again
since their best goal line rushers are Cam Newton and Mike Tolbert, and neither
Stewart nor Williams has run away with the starting job. Stewart and Williams
will heavily share carries, making handcuffing a must.
Chicago, Matt Forte: Michael Bush (9)
Matt Forte
will have a huge season as both on the ground and through the air, but he’s
fragile and Bush handles the short yardage and goal line work even when Forte
is healthy. Bush showed in Oakland that he can carry a rushing attack when
McFadden went down.
Cincinatti, Benjarvus Green-Ellis:
Giovanni Bernard (10)
The second
round rookie Bernard will start the year as the 3rd down back, but
his coach has said he has three down potential and the talent gulf between
Bernard and Green-Ellis is so large that a changing of the guard is inevitable
sooner rather than later.
Cleveland, Trent Richardson: Montario
Hardesty (5)
Richardson
showed he was tough enough to play through a painful rib injury his first year
in the league, and Hardesty would just be a flex option if he had to take over
the lead role in Norv Turner’s offense.
Dallas, DeMarco Murray: Joseph Randle
(10)
Sun rises. Sun sets. DeMarco Murray gets hurt. Joseph Randle displayed an ability to break tough tackles at Oklahoma, and it will be exciting to see what he can do with a chance to be the lead back.
Denver, Montee Ball: Ronnie Hillman
(10)
Montee Ball
showed at Wisconsin that he is capable of carrying a full workload, the
question is whether coach Fox will give him that chance.
Detroit, Reggie Bush: Mikel Leshoure
(2)
Mikel
Leshoure could split a lead role with Joique Bell is Bush goes down. Leshoure
is a bruising straight line rusher, but Bell’s elusiveness and receiving skills
are more similar to what the Lions expect from Bush.
Green Bay, Eddie Lacy: Johnathan
Franklin (10)
Remember the
brief relief you felt after the Packers drafted Eddie Lacy in the second round
and grabbed their workhorse of the future? The selection of the quicker
Franklin the next day clouded the future of this potentially valuable backfield
to the point where Franklin could win the starting job outright with a strong
preseason.
Houston, Arian Foster: Ben Tate (9)
Combine
Foster’s injury history with the Texans’ desire to rush the ball in all
situations (and especially the red zone) and you get the feeling that we’re
going to be seeing plenty of Tate this season.
Indianapolis, Ahmad Bradshaw: Vick
Ballard (6)
Ahmad
Bradshaw has had foot problems, but he’s a three-down back when healthy.
Ballard was solid but not spectacular carrying the Colts rushing attack last
year, and would be a potential low end RB2 if Bradshaw missed time.
Jacksonville, Maurice Jones-Drew:
Justin Forsett (8)
MJD is a
workhouse when he’s healthy and motivated, but is coming into camp with
conditioning questions for the second year in a row. Justin Forsett is a career
backup, so watch for “offensive weapon” Denard Robinson to become an intriguing
player if MJD goes down.
Kansas City, Jamaal Charles: Knile
Davis (2)
Jamaal
Charles and Andy Reid have spent the offseason talking about their affection
for their partnership, and Reid could turn to a back like Shaun Draughn with
NFL experience instead of Davis if Charles gets injured
Miami, Lamar Miller: Daniel Thomas
(4)
Lamar Miller
has been given a chance to seize a three-down role after barely getting 50
carries his rookie year, and the plodding Thomas won’t be an exciting option
even if Miller gets hurt.
Minnesota, Adrian Peterson: Toby
Gerhart (2)
Yes, last
year’s MVP is clearly the best back in the league, and if Peterson misses
extended time your fantasy season (and the Vikings season) is probably ruined
anyway. However, Gerhart looked capable finishing out the year after All-Day
got hurt against the Redskins two seasons ago, and could become a RB2 if
Peterson gets injured. Remember that no back lasts forever, and with the heavy
workload Peterson has had for years in Minnesota it would be foolish to think
he doesn’t require a handcuff.
New England, Stevan Ridley: Shane
Vereen (10)
With the
decimation of Brady’s receiving options, the football will be handed off more
than ever before in the Brady era. Shane Vereen is a potential flex option even
if Ridley is healthy because of his receiving skills; he’s low-end RB1 material
if he ascends to the top of the depth chart for any reason.
New Orleans, Darren Sproles: Mark
Ingram (6)
Lining up
next to Drew Brees is a great situation for any running back, and both Mark
Ingram and Pierre Thomas have looked promising in limited roles. Promotion to a
full-time role could make a fantasy star out of Ingram.
New York, David Wilson: Andre Brown
(10)
If Wilson
proves he can handle pass protection and secure the ball, he has the talent to
run away with the job. Andre Brown can power through weak tackles and handle
three-downs of work, making him very valuable if Brown gets hurt or put back in
Coughlin’s doghouse.
New York Jets, Chris Ivory: Mike
Goodson (7)
Ivory will
get banged up because of his violent rushing style, but Goodson leads a
collection of mediocre talent behind him on the depth chart. Bilal Powell
showed flashes in a pathetic Jets offense towards the end of last season,
meaning Goodson is unlikely to become a lead back if (correction, when) Ivory
gets hurt.
Oakland, Darren McFadden: Marcel
Reece (10)
See: Murray, DeMarco. Former college wide receiver Reece briefly
became a fantasy star last season because of his rushing and receiving skills,
and becomes more than just a flex option if he has to be the starting back.
Philadelphia, LeSean McCoy: Bryce
Brown (10)
Brown has an
unfair size-speed combination, and Chip Kelly’s offenses are profitable rushing
based-warp speed combinations for his backs.
Pittsburgh, Le’Veon Bell: Jonathan
Dwyer (2)
Jonathan
Dwyer proved he was mediocre back last year, while Le’Veon Bell is a potential
three-down back if he learns to use his size and strength to break more
tackles. If Bell misses time, an ugly timeshare should ensue.
San Diego, Ryan Mathews: Danny
Woodhead (7)
Ryan Mathews
didn’t drink nearly enough milk as a child. Once Mathews goes down, Le’Ron
McClain could become the starting back if the Chargers don’t believe the
elusive Woodhead can handle a starting workload.
San Francisco, Frank Gore: Kendall
Hunter (2)
Frank Gore
is a workhorse, and should get the majority of carries when healthy even though
he turned 30. If he goes down, it is almost certain to devolve into a committee
between Hunter and LaMichael James.
Seattle, Marshawn Lynch: Robert
Turbin (8)
Lynch has
been an elite back the past several seasons, but people forget that he was
considered injury prone earlier in his career. Turbin (and to a lesser extent
rookie Christine Michael) are capable of handling the starting role if Lynch
gets hurt.
St. Louis, Isiah Pead: Zac Stacy (4)
Daryl
Richardson will get a fair amount of carries even when Pead is healthy, but
he’s best suited going east-west and in a third-down role. Look for rookie Zac
Stacy to get the majority of Pead’s carries and short yardage work if Pead goes
down for an extended period of time.
Tampa Bay, Doug Martin: Mike James
(1)
No player in
the league needs to be handcuffed less than Martin, both because of the
certainty that he’ll receive the full workload and the lack of a talented back
on the depth chart behind him.
Tennessee, Chris Johnson: Shonn
Greene (5)
Chris
Johnson is many things (indecisive, poor between the tackles, selfish), but he
is not injury prone. Shonn Greene is just one thing: plodding.
Washing, Alfred Morris: Roy Helu (2)
In terms of
talent and fit with the offense, Morris fits so perfectly as the hammer lining
up next to RGIII’s lightning that no other running back deserves carries.
However, out of respect to coach Shanahan’s previous history of splitting
carries into a committee, I’ve raised Helu’s rating from 1 to 2.
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